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Mining Multivariate Time Series Models with Soft-Computing Techniques: A Coarse-Grained Parallel Computing Approach

机译:使用软计算技术挖掘多元时间序列模型:粗粒度并行计算方法

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摘要

This paper presents experimental results of a parallel implementation of a soft-computing algorithm for model discovery in multivariate time series, possibly with missing values. It uses a hybrid neural network with two different types of neurons trained with a non-traditional procedure. Models describing the multivariate time dependencies are encoded as binary strings representing neural networks, and evolved using genetic algorithms. The present paper studies its properties from an experimental point of view (using homogeneous and heterogeneous clusters) focussing on: i) the influence of missing values, ii) the factors controlling the parallel computation, and iii) the effectiveness of the time series prediction results. Results confirm that i) the algorithm possesses high tolerance to missing data, ii) Athon-based homogeneous clusters have higher throughput than Xeon-based homogeneous clusters, iii) an increase of the number of slaves reduces the processing time until communication overhead dominates (as expected), and iv) running the algorithm in parallel does not affect the RMS error (as expected). Even though much of this behaviour could be qualitatively expected, appropriate tradeoffs between error and time were actually discovered, thereby enabling more effective, systematic, future uses of the system.
机译:本文介绍了在变量时间序列中可能存在缺失值的模型发现并行执行软计算算法的实验结果。它使用一种混合神经网络,该网络具有通过非传统程序训练的两种不同类型的神经元。描述多元时间依赖性的模型被编码为代表神经网络的二进制字符串,并使用遗传算法进行进化。本文从实验的角度(使用同质和异类群集)研究其性质,重点在于:i)缺失值的影响; ii)控制并行计算的因素; iii)时间序列预测结果的有效性。结果证实:i)该算法对丢失的数据具有较高的容忍度; ii)基于Athon的同质集群比基于Xeon的同质集群具有更高的吞吐量,iii)从站数量的增加减少了通信时间占主导的处理时间(因为iv)并行运行算法不会影响RMS误差(符合预期)。即使可以定性地预期许多这种行为,但实际上已经发现了错误和时间之间的适当折衷,从而可以更有效,系统地将来使用该系统。

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